Overview

This course is an introduction to concepts of mathematical modeling of infectious diseases; topics include branching processes and the basic reproduction number, dynamical systems, and methods for data fitting Including Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC).

Course Details

The objectives for this course are for participants to:

  • Understand key concepts of epidemic modeling (herd immunity, basic reproduction number, stochastic vs deterministic modeling);
  • Read and assess mathematical models based on their biomedical assumptions;
  • Understand selected methods for fitting mathematical models to data; and
  • Understand how to assess forecasts from mathematical models.

Probability theory or statistics. Exceptions to this prerequisite may be made with the consent of the Course Director, space permitting.

Course content is delivered through weekly interactive lectures.

None

Grades are based on 10% class attendance, 75% weekly assignments, and the remainder on a take-home final examination.

Students not in full-year DEB Education Programs who satisfactorily pass all course requirements will, upon request, receive a Certificate of Course Completion.

Only UCSF students (defined as individuals enrolled in UCSF degree or certificate programs) will receive academic credit for courses. Official transcripts are available to UCSF students only. A Certificate of Course Completion will be available upon request to individuals who are not UCSF students and satisfactorily pass all course requirements.

UCSF Graduate Division Policy on Disabilities

The objectives for this course are for participants to:

  • Understand key concepts of epidemic modeling (herd immunity, basic reproduction number, stochastic vs deterministic modeling);
  • Read and assess mathematical models based on their biomedical assumptions;
  • Understand selected methods for fitting mathematical models to data; and
  • Understand how to assess forecasts from mathematical models.

Probability theory or statistics. Exceptions to this prerequisite may be made with the consent of the Course Director, space permitting.

Course content is delivered through weekly interactive lectures.

None

Grades are based on 10% class attendance, 75% weekly assignments, and the remainder on a take-home final examination.

Students not in full-year DEB Education Programs who satisfactorily pass all course requirements will, upon request, receive a Certificate of Course Completion.

Only UCSF students (defined as individuals enrolled in UCSF degree or certificate programs) will receive academic credit for courses. Official transcripts are available to UCSF students only. A Certificate of Course Completion will be available upon request to individuals who are not UCSF students and satisfactorily pass all course requirements.

UCSF Graduate Division Policy on Disabilities

Meet the Faculty

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A photo of Travis. He is looking at the camera and lightly smiling. He is wearing glasses and a beige button down collared shirt. He has medium length salt and pepper hair.
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Travis Porco, PhD, MPH

Professor, Proctor Foundation

How to Enroll

Whether you're exploring the field, enhancing your skills, or working toward a larger academic goal, most individual courses are open to everyone. Current learners enrolled in DEB Education programs have priority in enrollment for this course. Any extra spaces are available to non-DEB Education learners (i.e., those from the Institute for Global Health Sciences, School of Nursing, external groups, etc).

You’ll find details on course fees, how to apply and pay, and the full course schedule on the Course Enrollment & Payment page. Be sure you understand the enrollment policies and payment process before completing the enrollment form.

And remember: you only need to submit one form for all the new courses you want to take.

Course Enrollment & Payment Instructions